June 4, 2008

Current Political impasse

The aftermath of the declaration of Nepal as a republican state has not shown sings of any good prospect although the excitement and celebrations went to the extent of a delirium as if Nepal had discarded the cloaks of misfortunes with the ouster of monarchy. The political parties as in eternity have again plunged headlong into a dispute of power sharing or not sharing it, fraught with all idiocies. The single largest party in the current constituent assembly, the Maoist party, seems to be prepared to make the already created political impasse into further deterioration. it is because a day after the declaration of Nepal as a republic, the Maoists supremo Puspa kamal Dahal publicly and most vociferously condemned the rival political parties and the independent media for their stance against Maoists and their activities. The way castigated the NC, UML and Kantipur publication was absolutely unnecessary and uncalled for to be made by a responsible political leader if he was one of them.

The euphoria on the success of the recently held Constituent Assembly election, if is to be inferred, seems to have given the Maoists the validity to act on their own. At least , this seems to be the general mood and understanding across the party hierarchy, bottom to top.
Mr Dahal continued to appear more as a militia commander than a responsible head of a political party prepared to take up the reins of the state. As a newly annointed and baptized member into a multi-party fraternity in Nepal, the Maoists lower rung cadres can still be offered the benefit of doubts even if they lack the basic ethos of inclusive nature of pluralistic politics, the same can not be said about its political leadership. It is because the political leadership has more challenges than ever in reining in the anarchistic antics of its root level cadres behaving more as all powerful police and courts on their own. This is the time they learn to behave as people and not as super cops. Only the genuine effort and will power from the Maoist leadership can change this euphoric anarchism in the daydreamers.

Maoists and other political parties involved in this negotiated peace process in Nepal have always huddled together to unknot an issue or a problem at the last moment. Theirs has never been an earnest intention or resolve to address problems that may crop up over a longer period of time. They have been acting on installments dealing with each and every singular problem for the moment without planning for a decade or ,say, for a five year period . This is because of the lack of trust among the parties. The mainstream parliamentary parties like the UML and NC etc. are apprehensive of the Maoists long term agenda of leading the nation into a single party Communist Republic. The truth is that they have not made efforts to alley this fear from the minds of the sceptic.

The apprehensions among the sceptics can be summarised as:

The all powerful institution of Monarchy has tamely surrendered. Now Maoists will infuse their party indoctrinated militia into the national army and politicizes every possible aspect of state mechanism. with the assumption of state power they will invade and stamp all aspects of life and will try to justify with the forceful means that they have been accustomed to doing and proving over the years. In the pretext of giving the so called 'miracle' of economic revolution, they will dominate and exterminate all possible avenues of dissent. However, they will try to appease the Indian king makers by every means possible.

Sooner or later, these parties will agree on power sharing . If they don't agree , they will perhaps be made to agree by an all powerful invisible hand. Though I don't know how and when. But I can still say that our political parties very well know how to disagree and agree with a last ditch effort and again disagree with apprehensions for each other just to unravel another ball for the time being to make the people feel that they are still working together!

Lack of trust and fear against each other has till date made our political parties agree on points in the last minute agonies against all odds. But the balance now tilting towards the Maoists, will Nepali politics remain the same as it has been for the last two years or will it make a significant departure from hereon begs only questions and scepticism aplenty.


पीजी said...

Finally if they are communist then they listen to their own and walk on the path of their own. The attitude of a kind of consent they showed to the democratic and open procedure, which was mistaken by parties and people as their flexibility, was in fact their “survive and adapt” strategy. On that basis they saved their already risked party (in term of finance, cadres, sustainability) that was in its climax in one aspect. After actively involving in the open politics they not only fooled our short sighted politicians but also foreigners. That’s why none of foreign power could criticize or oppose them but forced to act as their supporter or at least had to pretend to show the willingness of working together.

Now the national army is “unofficially neutral”, public may stay indifferent and maoist will be a strong power to dictate the country. As they are fighting to “rule” or to be “ruler” they will not stay away from “ruling position” at any case. Even if they agree for parliamentary process, they will go for it only if they see their victory. After the election euphoria they are indicating their “future strategy” by means of threat and public statements. In my opinion its not only their threat but either “one of their option” or “sole future strategy”. If they still think themselves as communist they will not leave this opportunity to grab power which they would never have got through previous jungle war.

Anonymous said...

I agree with the point, our leaders disagree with 180 degree angle and after a weekend, they come with conclusive point. Why this had to be? Is there mysterious object that unites or divides our leaders.
If this scenario goes on and on, it is quite obvious this will be happen for two years. They are telling us that they are goint to held election after 2 years. Does anyone ready to agree that we will have constitution after 2 years. After a month of the election (4%) of the period, they have done nothing, just nothing, how they gonna build a constitution for a while country.
By nature and the sit they have obtained, maoist will keep on brawling till the next general election.
I can tell life will be like iraq. The better thing they are running for, country will become worst.

nepalean said...

I think the first sentence is enough to explain the present scenraio and our thinking to towards country - "The aftermath of the declaration of Nepal as a republican state has not shown sings of any good prospect although the excitement and celebrations went to the extent of a delirium as if Nepal had discarded the cloaks of misfortunes with the ouster of monarchy.". It is not the system, it is the process to change present nepal.
Next thing, the analysis towards Prachanda is so right because he already has one army. If he becomes the head of the state, he will have reign of army and militiant. He is not doubt a communist leader. Anyone can easily guess what a communist leader do when he has complete control over the country.

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